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More →NEXTPredict Founder: 'Nobody Was Serving' Prediction Markets' Enormous Audience
<span>Prediction markets have exploded into the mainstream media, with odds now regularly quoted on cable news, in wire copy and in equity research notes.</span> <span>That’s why </span><a href="https://nextpredict.io/summits/the-worlds-prediction-markets-summit/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow external noopener" class="sc-adb616fe-0 dJryYS">><span>NEXTPredict</span></a><span>, which runs on October 22 and 23 at Convene, Hudson Yards in New York, has put working reporters on the program rather than in a press room behind it. </span><i><span>CNBC</span></i><span> correspondent Contessa Brewer and </span><i><span>CNN</span></i><span> senior reporter Marshall Cohen were</span> <a href="https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2026/08/19/3347708/0/en/experts-from-robinhood-microsoft-research-binance-us-cnn-and-cnbc-join-nextpredict-october-summit.html" target="_blank" class="sc-adb616fe-0 dJryYS" rel="nofollow"><span>added</span></a><span> in August, booked around the midterms. Organizers expect more than 50 speakers and 2,500 attendees, “bringing the category to broader audiences,” in the words of </span><a href="http://next.io" target="_blank" rel="nofollow external noopener" class="sc-adb616fe-0 dJryYS">><span>NEXT.io</span></a><span> co-founder and managing director Pierre Lindh.</span> <span>Prediction market stories are serious news that ordinary readers actually want, Lindh</span> <a href="https://www.predictcentr.com/must-read/nextpredict-pierre-lindh-kalshi-hedge/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow external noopener" class="sc-adb616fe-0 dJryYS">><span>told</span></a><span> PredictCentr in August, reaching an audience far larger than the iGaming trade he came from, and "nobody was serving it with real journalistic standards."</span> <span>The summit programme was built the same way. A “healthy part” of the main stage had to carry content national broadcasters would send a crew for, he said, because "B2B panel content does not move a national desk." The media plan has since grown from 50 passes to between 100 and 200. </span> <span>With the midterms dominating the headlines around prediction markets while the agenda’s focus is on market structure, he concedes that there’s a dichotomy at play, noting that, “the story that gets the summit on air is not the story delegates are paying to be in the room for, and both have to be true at the same time.”</span> <span>While the category has mainstream distribution, there’s a gap between media presence and the actual user base of prediction market platforms.</span> <span>Polymarket’s monthly active users sit around 283,300,</span> <a href="https://tokenterminal.com/explorer/projects/polymarket/metrics/user-mau" target="_blank" rel="nofollow external noopener" class="sc-adb616fe-0 dJryYS">><span>measured</span></a><span> by Token Terminal as unique addresses making a revenue-generating transaction, down from a peak above 750,000 in the spring. Acquisition spikes around events—but participation does n
SOL large holder account long-short ratio is 1.9334
CoinWorld data: The latest 4-hour snapshot for SOLUSDT shows that among the top 20% of accounts by margin balance, the long-short account ratio is 1.9334, with more net long accounts among large holders. Compared with the same-caliber snapshot 24 hours ago, it rose by 0.1471.
What happens to the S&P 500 when companies become too large?
Coinpaper reports that as companies continue to grow in scale, certain large-cap stocks may come to dominate the returns of the S&P 500. The weights of the S&P 500 index are adjusted based on free-float market capitalization, so the larger a company's market value, the greater its influence on the index. On August 31, 2026, the largest S&P 500 constituent accounted for approximately 8.1% of the index, while the top ten companies together accounted for about 37.8%. This means the S&P 500 index may increasingly resemble a portfolio dominated by a small number of large companies. With the rise of the AI boom, large technology companies such as Nvidia, Microsoft, and Apple have taken on significant positions in the benchmark index. S&P Dow Jones Indices offers different weighted benchmarks, but the main index typically allows market-cap concentration to develop naturally. Quarterly rebalancing does not automatically push the largest companies back to equal weights. Instead, equal-weight indices periodically reset each position to roughly the same size.
ETH large holder account long-short ratio is 1.429
CoinWorld data: The latest 4-hour snapshot for ETHUSDT shows that among the top 20% of accounts by margin balance, the long-short account ratio is 1.429, with more net long accounts among large holders. Compared with the same-caliber snapshot 24 hours ago, it rose by 0.1056.
Hyperliquid 2026年开放仓位翻倍至43.56万
According to Hypertracker data cited by Bijie Network, the number of open perpetual contract positions on the Hyperliquid platform has reached 435,564, setting a new all-time high and representing an increase of about 115% from 202,943 at the beginning of the year. The platform currently has about 320,600 active traders, also a significant increase from 155,000 at the start of the year. Total perpetual contract open interest has reached $17.29 billion, only about $920 million below the peak on September 23. Although daily trading volume remains below August levels, Hyperliquid's perpetual contract trading volume on October 6 was about $4.54 billion, with trading volume over the past month mostly ranging between $2 billion and $6 billion.
The G7 decided to release 100 million barrels of oil in response to rising diesel prices.
G7 (Group of Seven) has reached an agreement to release up to 100 million barrels of emergency oil and diesel inventories within four months, with a large portion of the diesel to be provided within the first 20 days, in response to the market impact of diesel prices exceeding $6 per gallon.
ETH liquidation pressure: watch $2,556.86 to the downside and $2,814.58 to the upside.
CoinWorld data: ETH is currently priced at approximately $2,712.85. If the price falls by about 5.75% to around $2,556.86, some high-leverage longs may face concentrated liquidations; if the price rises by about 3.75% to around $2,814.58, some high-leverage shorts may face concentrated liquidations. The upper liquidation zone is currently closer to the spot price, meaning that if the price moves upward, short liquidation pressure may appear earlier. Other notable zones: below at $2,529.73 and $2,326.26; above at $2,977.35 and $3,248.63. These levels are estimated based on public market prices and changes in open interest, and do not mean the price will necessarily reach them, nor are they predictions of price movement. Compared with the same-caliber snapshot 24 hours ago, it is down 0.12%.
BTC large holder account long-short ratio is 1.1915
CoinWorld data: The latest snapshot of BTCUSDT on the 4-hour timeframe shows that among the top 20% of accounts by margin balance, the long-short account ratio is 1.1915, with net long accounts outnumbering net short accounts among large holders. Compared with the same-caliber snapshot 24 hours ago, it rose by 0.1138.
Shell CEO: Middle East oil flows have recovered to more than 80% of pre-war levels.
According to news from Bijie, Shell CEO Wael Sawan said that oil flows in the Middle East have now recovered to about 80% of pre-conflict levels. Speaking at the Energy Intelligence Forum in London, he pointed out that despite many incidents, many countries in the region remain resilient and are able to continue supplying energy to global markets. Although several major banks and shipping data analysis institutions believe that Middle East oil flows are close to pre-war levels, the market still disputes the exact degree of recovery. The actual number of ships entering and leaving the Strait of Hormuz and parts of the Red Sea is difficult to count accurately, because many vessels frequently turn off their satellite positioning signals.
BTC liquidation pressure: watch $83,800 to the downside and $88,100 to the upside.
According to CoinWorld data: BTC is currently priced at around $86,100. If the price falls by about 2.75% to around $83,800, some high-leverage long positions may face concentrated liquidations; if the price rises by about 2.25% to around $88,100, some high-leverage short positions may face concentrated liquidations. The liquidation zone above is currently closer to the current price, meaning that if the price moves upward, short liquidation pressure may appear earlier. Other areas worth watching: below at $83,100 and $81,200; above at $93,000 and $101,600. The above levels are estimated based on public market prices and changes in open interest, and do not mean the price will necessarily reach them, nor are they predictions of price direction. Compared with the same-caliber snapshot 24 hours ago, it is up 0.06%.