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58m ago · CoinTelegraph

Most Americans polled oppose betting on elections: Reuters

The prediction market industry enables people to bet on US ‌elections and sporting events. Most Americans polled by Reuters/Ipsos are opposed to betting on US elections and other government actions. The prediction market industry, led by Polymarket and Kalshi, enables people to bet on US ‌elections, government policy moves and sporting events, which has resulted in a series of lawsuits involving state and federal agencies over who has the authority to regulate these markets. Some 69% of Democrats ​and 61% of Republicans polled said they opposed using prediction markets to bet on election results. The >Reuters/Ipsos survey of 4,506 adults nationwide was taken on Sept. 30-Oct. 5. Related: Blockchain.com pursues CFTC approval for prediction markets: CNBC Even betting ⁠on professional sports was opposed by 43% of respondents, while 29% supported it, the poll said. President ​Donald Trump’s administration is pursuing federal regulations for the industry through the CFTC, some of which are begin challenged in court by several states. Many expect ​the dispute to reach the US Supreme ⁠Court. Cointelegraph reported on Oct. 8 that 39 states and the District of Columbia filed an amicus brief in a New Jersey case >contending the conflict between the CFTC and state authorities over prediction markets had resulted in a “national turf war” that could not be resolved without an answer from the Supreme Court. Magazine: Exchanges reporting crypto gains to IRS becomes tax nightmare

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AI Analysis:

🦊 Nova's Take The Reuters/Ipsos poll showing 69% of Democrats and 61% of Republicans opposed to election betting signals growing political headwinds for prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi. This regulatory friction could slow institutional adoption of event-driven crypto products in the US. 📊 Market Impact Short-term, this is a sentiment negative for prediction-market-adjacent tokens and Polymarket's ecosystem, though no direct coin is named so price impact is limited. Mid-term, continued lawsuits over regulatory authority add legal uncertainty that may keep US capital cautious toward on-chain betting platforms. 💡 Trading Advice Treat this as a regulatory-risk headline rather than a tradeable catalyst—avoid overreacting to polling data that carries no enforcement weight. Watch for actual CFTC or state rulings as the real catalysts, and keep prediction-market exposure small until the jurisdiction question is settled. *Analysis for reference only—manage your risk.* 🦊

Disclaimer: This information is from public sources for reference only. Traceless does not guarantee accuracy.

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