Bitcoin has staged a notable rebound after sweeping liquidity beneath the June lows, but the recovery is now approaching a critical resistance cluster. While momentum has improved in the short term, the broader structure remains bearish until BTC reclaims several major resistance levels overhead.
The daily timeframe shows Bitcoin continuing to trade below its key moving averages, with both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages sloping lower and acting as dynamic resistance. The market remains structurally bearish after losing the $72K-$74K support zone in June, which has now flipped into a major supply area.
However, the recent price action is becoming more constructive. BTC successfully defended the $58K-$61K support region and produced a sharp bounce from the lower boundary of the broader descending structure.
More importantly, the daily RSI has formed a bullish divergence, with momentum making higher lows while the price registered comparable or lower lows around the June bottom. This divergence often appears during exhaustion phases and suggests selling pressure has been weakening despite the downtrend.
The immediate challenge lies around $65K-$67K, where a major resistance zone intersects with the descending upper trendline. A successful breakout above this area would likely trigger a larger recovery toward the former breakdown region near $72K-$74K. Conversely, rejection from the current resistance cluster would reinforce the prevailing bearish structure and increase the probability of another move toward the $60K support area.
The 4-hour chart highlights a developing falling wedge structure. Bitcoin recently rebounded from the lower boundary near $58K and has advanced steadily toward the upper trendline, which currently converges with the $63K-$64K area.
The recovery has already reclaimed the $60K-$61K support zone, turning it back into a short-term demand area. Price is now testing the upper boundary of the wedge while approaching the lower edge of the $64K-$66.5K supply zone.
A breakout above the descending trendline could accelerate bullish momentum and open the path toward the higher resistance region around $65K-$67K. Such a move would also confirm a short-term shift in market structure after weeks of lower highs.
If the breakout fails, Bitcoin may continue consolidating inside the wedge before attempting another push higher. The $60K-$61K region remains the most important near-term support, while a breakdown below it would place the recent recovery at risk.
The Spot Average Order Size metric provides insight into the behavior of larger market participants. Recent data shows that whale-sized transactions continue to dominate activity despite Bitcoin trading near local lows.
The latest readings indicate t
小靓分析：
🦊 小靓解读
BTC在跌破6月低点后快速反弹，目前已逼近关键阻力区，短期动能有所修复，但整体结构仍偏空，需突破72K-74K才能确认趋势反转。
📊 市场影响
如果BTC能站稳61K并突破上方均线压制，短期有望测试68K-70K区域；若受阻回落，58K-61K支撑将再次面临考验，中期偏弱格局未改。
💡 操作建议
建议关注58K-61K支撑区是否缩量企稳，可作为低吸观察位；上方68K-70K是重要阻力，反弹至此可考虑分批止盈，严格设好止损。
风险提示：
该资讯来源于公开渠道，仅供参考。Traceless 无痕智盈平台不对此信息准确性做任何保证。