Although most experts anticipated slightly lower US Consumer Price Index numbers for June due to the ongoing ceasefire at the time in the Middle East, the actual data is more promising, showing an even larger decline.
The month-over-month drop is 0.4%, which breaks a three-month streak of consistent increases. BTC’s price reacted with an immediate surge of almost a grand that pushed it to $63,500 briefly.
However, a closer look at the data tells a different story. A large portion of the CPI decline from May’s multi-year record was due to the drop in oil prices in June because of the ceasefire signed between the US and Iran.
The Core CPI, which strips out more volatile sectors such as energy and food, remains unchanged. Furthermore, the ceasefire between the two warring nations ended last week, and the tension has substantially escalated. Oil prices have jumped once again, meaning the July data is likely to surge.
According to a recent analysis, BTC traders are closely monitoring the situation as it could provide a glimpse into the upcoming FOMC meeting, in which the Fed could hike the rates.
Analysts predicted that a reading above 4% YoY could lead to further tightening of monetary policy, impacting BTC negatively. However, the actual 3.5% figure might have the opposite effect.
Bitcoin’s initial reaction was quite positive, as the asset jumped to a daily peak of $63,600 before it retraced slightly. More volatility is expected as the news unfolds and the market prices in the next FOMC meeting.
The post Bitcoin Price Rockets as US CPI for June Comes in Well Below Expectations appeared first on CryptoPotato.
小靓分析:
🦊 小靓解读
美国6月CPI环比下降0.4%,打破连续三个月上涨趋势,直接推动BTC短时拉升近1000美元至63,500。但核心CPI未变,通胀粘性仍在,市场情绪可能过度乐观。
📊 市场影响
短期利好已兑现,BTC在63,500附近面临抛压。若后续无更多宽松信号,价格可能回踩60,000-62,000区间震荡。
💡 操作建议
警惕冲高回落,不建议追多。可关注60,000支撑位,若企稳可轻仓试多,但需设好止损。注意美伊停火结束带来的能源价格反弹风险。
风险提示:
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