As the business intelligence and Bitcoin treasury company Strategy just carried out its largest BTC sale this week, analysts are comparing just how deeply the firm is underwater.
CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost reviewed Strategy’s Bitcoin unrealized losses compared to those of the world’s largest crypto exchange, Binance, in their latest report. This is because both entities are major BTC holders, with hundreds of thousands of digital assets sitting in their reserves.
According to Darkfost’s report, crypto exchanges collectively hold about 8 million BTC, with roughly 30% concentrated on Binance alone. Bitfinex, Gemini, Kraken, and OKX follow suit with more than 5% of the holdings each.
It is worth mentioning that Binance’s bitcoin reserves are mostly owned by investors. This is because the exchange liquidated about 94% of its proprietary BTC reserves and converted them into stablecoins in early 2025 during a major restructuring. So, since then, it has not actively engaged in selling its own BTC; the bitcoin in question now belongs to investors.
Although Binance accounts for the largest exchange reserves with 656,561 BTC, Strategy still tops the platform with 843,775 units. This feat is despite Strategy executing two batches of BTC sales within less than two months. The first was in late May – 32 BTC for $2.5 million – while the second was earlier this week – 3,588 BTC for $216 million. These sales have been aimed at funding security dividends and corporate liquidity needs. Darkfost said Strategy’s moves reflect the company’s need for liquidity rather than a market conviction.
Strategy’s 843,775 BTC stash has an average acquisition price of $75,476, but the sales have been taking place around the $60,000 level. So, the business intelligence giant has realized roughly 20% sales losses.
On the other hand, all the BTC sitting on Binance has an estimated realized price of $60,900, well below Strategy’s $75,476. This indicates that the latter’s reserves are still deeper underwater than Binance’s – the treasury firm is sitting on more unrealized losses.
Moreover, Strategy has more BTC holdings than Binance, so the firm has a significantly larger unrealized loss margin than the exchange. If Saylor’s company makes any more sales while BTC hovers around $60,000, it is bound to realize even more losses.
The post Strategy or Binance: Who’s Sitting on More Unrealized Bit
小靓分析：
🦊 小靓解读
CryptoQuant最新分析指出，Strategy（原MicroStrategy）持有的BTC未实现亏损可能比币安更大，因为后者大部分BTC由用户托管，而Strategy是纯公司持仓，近期还进行了最大规模BTC卖出，浮亏压力显著。
📊 市场影响
该对比突显了机构持仓的脆弱性，短期可能加剧市场对大户抛售的担忧，尤其是BTC价格若跌破关键支撑（如58,000 USDT），会触发更多止损盘。但币安的用户持仓结构相对分散，系统性风险较低。
💡 操作建议
建议关注BTC在60,000 USDT附近的多空博弈，若持续承压，可考虑轻仓套保或观望。避免盲目抄底，优先控制仓位风险。
风险提示：
该资讯来源于公开渠道，仅供参考。Traceless 无痕智盈平台不对此信息准确性做任何保证。